Most people have a vague sense that prize draws and lotteries have bad odds. But how bad? And how does Keystone compare? Let's do the maths.
Odds of winning jackpot
1 in 45,057,474
Ticket cost
£2
To put 1 in 45 million in perspective: you're more likely to be struck by lightning (1 in 1.2 million) than to win the Lotto jackpot. You'd need to buy a ticket every week for 866,000 years to have a statistical expectation of winning once.
Typical odds
1 in 10,000+
Entry cost
£1-5
Better than the lottery, but still not great. Most competition sites sell unlimited entries. The more popular the prize, the worse your odds get. And they rarely tell you the exact number of entries in the draw.
Your odds (10 entries)
1 in 300
Monthly cost
£10
With 300 members each holding 10 entries, the draw has 3,000 entries total. Your 10 entries give you a 1 in 300 chance. That's 150,000 times better than the National Lottery.
| Lottery | Typical Comp | Keystone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | 1 in 45M | 1 in 10K+ | 1 in 300 |
| Cost/year | £104 | £50-500 | £170 |
| Prize value | Variable | £1-50K | £3.5-10K/month |
| Odds published | Yes | Rarely | Always |
| Live draw | TV | Sometimes | Every time |
The cap is the whole point. When we say “300 founding members,” we mean it. Once the 300th person joins, the door closes for that draw. Your odds don't get diluted. The maths doesn't change.
We publish the exact number of members and entries before every draw. You can verify the odds yourself. That's what transparency looks like.